- The Kansas State and Texas football game saw its over-under increase from 54 to 103.5 points during live betting.
- Nearly four-fifths of the betting action on the line was supporting the over.
- At +2200 odds, the Rice Owls took down the #21 Marshall Thundering Herd.
AUSTIN, Texas – In what is normally a Sunday for bettors to celebrate their bankroll and look to push a positive NFL Sunday through the week for their bookie, there are those who are out of luck. Whether taking the wrong side of the line or encountering a bad beat, knowing why and how some bad betting lines work can be just as important as knowing where the money is placed.
The stories aren’t always positive but the results are generally the same. Take Coastal Carolina this weekend in college football. As a +300 underdog to #13 BYU, they were able to score the first and last touchdown of the game, while holding BYU to only three points in the second half.
Around 56% of the betting slips were taking BYU -10 but none were willing to risk it on the -360 moneyline. With Coastal Carolina getting two-thirds of the money on only 41% of the bets, the sharps were willing to risk it.
While many think that online sportsbooks are working with the schools and that Vegas is just too good, the latter is true but sometimes outliers happen. Kansas State and Texas football explained this situation, in regards to the over-under.
Kansas State vs. Texas (Over-Under)
- Over 54 Points (-115)
- Under 54 Points (-105)
Bettors were paying attention to these college football odds, as the majority of the public and majority of the money was heavily put on the over. Nearly 80% of the money came back in favor of the public, as this game was set so far off the mark.
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In fact, at one point, the live betting total for the Texas game was set at an insane 103.5 points.
Those who took the over pregame has the easiest middling opportunity, offering a window almost double the size of the original spread. In this case, the bettors won the sports betting money and it was the sportsbooks asking where the money went.
Still, it's always an ebb and flow as another ranked college football team lost straight up. With 64% of the tickets and 80% of the money on #21 Marshall, the sportsbooks collected when Rice beat them 20-0 on their home field.
On their side doesn’t mean the moneyline though, as their 24.5-point spread didn’t seem to be enough to keep the Owls out. At +2200 to win straight up, only a third of the bets were on this line, with even less of the money behind it.
While the total sports betting revenue from the sportsbooks won’t be released for another month, it is always interesting to see how the needle falls in certain games.
Michael spends most of his time betting on over/unders and analyzing algorithms in attempts to beat the book. His focus on statistics comes from an early understanding of mathematics as well as knowledge of opportunity costs. Michael enjoys playing basketball and reading about the NBA whenever he has the free time. When he is not writing, he can be found in Mississippi hitting the sportsbooks and enjoying a margarita… on the rocks, no salt.
