- Dustin Poirier is a -230 favorite in the main event of this Fight Night.
- Mickey Gall looks to overcome +255 odds against Mike Perry.
- The Crochet Boss Maurice Green has -225 odds to take a victory from Gian Villante in the heavyweight division.
LAS VEGAS - The UFC returns for a Fight Night event, highlighted by a matchup between Dustin Poirier and Dan Hooker.
This looks to be a very compelling card for UFC bettors, and this column seeks to break down the odds on all the main card fights.
There are a lot of them to cover, so let’s jump right in!
Woodson vs. Erosa Wagering
The main card opens as Sean Woodson takes on Julian Erosa, in a catchweight bout that sees a young up and comer favored over a seasoned veteran.
Woodson is 7-0 in his career and seems poised to make his career record go to 8-0 with this fight.
Woodson’s -500 odds at many of the major online sportsbooks make him the heaviest favorite on the card. Julian Erosa enters this match with a 23-9-0 record but with +350 odds. For those who trust experience in the octogen, Erosa’s underdog odds could be the biggest payout of the night.
Boser vs. Lins Odds Analysis
This fight is by far the most even on the main card as Tanner Boser takes on Philipe Lins, in a Heavyweight division fight.
This division in the UFC is notorious for fights that end at the drop of a hat, as all of the fighters in the division carry KO power.
In this fight, Boser is an extremely mild underdog, at -110 odds, while Lins has -120 odds. This fight is more of a coin toss on the moneyline so those looking to make a big profit from this particular fight should look more into prop bets or live betting once the fight begins.
Allen vs. Daukaus Betting Breakdown
The thirteenth ranked Middleweight fighter, Brendan Allen (-315), is set to face off against a challenger that he should dispatch with ease, unranked Kyle Daukaus (+245).
Allen is 14-3 in his career and represents a tough challenge for the young Daukaus, who has a 9-0 record coming into this match.
Daukaus is looking to make the jump to the big leagues with this fight, and a victory over Allen could do just that. He’s been on quite the tear as of late but this fight will be his biggest challenge yet. A bet on him shows true faith in this young talent.
Greene vs. Villante Betting Odds
The Crochet Boss Maurice Green takes on challenger Gian Villante in yet another Heavyweight bout on this card.
Greene boasts incredible physical advantages in this matchup. He is 4 inches taller, 28 lbs heavier, and has a six inch reach advantage.
It makes a lot of sense that he is favored to the degree that he is, but numbers aren’t everything, especially in the UFC’s Heavyweight division.
Villante has stopping power - 59% of his wins come by KO or TKO - and despite the significant on paper disadvantages, could easily put Greene out.
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Maurice Greene has -225 odds entering this match and provides a safe bet for those who value stats. Gian Villante comes in with +175 odds to win and gives gamblers who believe that anything is possible in the octogen a sizable payout.
Perry vs. Gall Odds
Mickey Gall is most famous to casual fans of the sport as the guy who destroyed CM Punk in Punk’s first UFC fight.
Since then, he’s tried to make the jump towards moving up in the ranks and faces a chance to prove himself against Platinum Mike Perry tonight.
Gall has several on paper advantages - he’s taller, and he has a longer reach with both his arms and his legs.
The problem for Gall is Perry’s stopping power. While Gall has achieved five of his six wins by submission, Perry has won 11 of his 13 wins by KO or TKO.
UFC bettors and watchers alike should keep an eye on this one, it could be explosive.
Mike Perry comes in with a whopping -335 odds on the moneyline whereas Mickey Gall currently has +255 odds to pull the upset.
Poirier vs. Hooker Betting
The main event of the evening comes courtesy of the Lightweight division, as third-ranked Lightweight Dustin Poirier (-230) faces off against fifth-ranked Lightweight Dan Hooker (+180).
On paper, Hooker has some real advantages here and poses a genuine threat to Poirier.
Hooker has a three-inch standing reach advantage and a two-inch leg reach advantage, as well as being taller than Poirier.
Poirer is heavier, and much more adept at, and willing to go for, takedowns. He boasts a 1.75 takedown average per 15 minutes, while Hooker only clocks in with 0.47.
In addition, Poirier has a 1.32 submission average per 15 minutes, while Hooker, once again, has a 0.47 average.
This fight might come down to who is able to better utilize their advantages. Can Hooker leverage his length and reach advantage, or will Poirier use his weight more effectively?
This looks like a compelling fight and a worthy main event for this card.
Maxwell joined the USAOnlineSportsbooks team in 2019. He focuses on creating sports betting content that informs and educates. He focuses on the NBA, the NFL, College Football and Basketball, and whatever else comes across his desk.
