- A.J. Brown is being drafted as the WR7, but could be even better than his ADP suggests.
- Mike Davis is being selected in the fifth round but has RB1 upside.
- Brandin Cooks, despite being the WR1 on his team, is being drafted as the WR40.
LAS VEGAS – The most important time of the Fantasy Football season is the draft. The following are players worth targeting as they could perform better than their ADP would signal.
A.J. Brown – Wide Receiver, Tennessee Titans
A.J. Brown is being drafted as the seventh wide receiver off the board this season. However, he can still be labeled a sleeper as he has a ceiling as high as the WR1. The knocks against Brown are that he’s in a run-first offense and now has to compete against Julio Jones for targets. However, that’s only a small part of the puzzle.
Online sportsbooks favor Brown to have OVER 1175.5 yards with -120 odds and have also set a line of 8.5 touchdowns with a -110 price on either side. He could go north of both marks due to his situation.
While the Tennessee Titans do run the ball a lot, only 12.4% of targets went to the running backs last season which was the lowest rate in the NFL. Plus, Corey Davis, Jonnu Smith, and Adam Humphries are all gone from last season.
While on the surface it seems like he had an added threat to steal targets, it may actually be the opposite.
Mike Davis – Running Back, Atlanta Falcons
Mike Davis is being drafted as the RB23 which is almost laughable when considering there are some backup running backs being selected before him. As one of the few RBs in the league with no real threat to steal carries, Davis is being severely undervalued.
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The biggest upside from Davis comes from his receiving ability as he was fifth in targets and fourth in receptions among running backs in 2020. The Atlanta Falcons offensive line is thought to be one of the worst in the league which could result in a lot of check-down passes to Davis.
With an ADP putting him in the early end of the fifth round, Davis has a real chance to finish the season as an RB1 in the Falcons’ offense.
Brandin Cooks – Wide Receiver, Houston Texans
The Houston Texans are supposed to be awful this season but that could actually be beneficial for Brandin Cooks. He isn’t thought to be an elite wideout, being he is one of just five players to have five 1,000+ yard seasons over the last six years.
Those betting on the NFL probably won’t be favoring the Texans too often but Cooks could have value individually. The fact that Houston is expected to lose nearly every game this season brings extra passing opportunities as the team will be playing catch-up.
As possibly the only solidified receiving threat on the team, Cooks should be the first option in many of the passing plays. Houston was also 30th in rushing touchdowns last season, further opening the possibility of Cooks getting red-zone targets and touchdowns. As a ninth-round pick, he's worth the risk.
Nick got involved with the world of sports at a young age and never turned his back on it. He graduated from Penn State University with a degree in Broadcast/Journalism. In his free time, you can catch him at the bottom of the leaderboards on any video game he’s playing.
