- Keegan Bradley has +3300 odds to win the event.
- James Hahn is a +15000 betting longshot that could perform well.
BLAINE, Minn. – The 3M Open field is relatively weak in comparison to other PGA Tour events as many golfers are taking a break after the Open Championship a week ago. This opens the opportunity for many golfers with long odds to overperform.
Which Stats Matter The Most?
This is the third year in a row that the 3M Open will be taking place at TPC Twin Cities in Minnesota. In the last two years there have been a couple of similarities in the event’s winners. Both winners were top five in the field for Strokes Gained: Approach The Green, top six in Greens in regulation and both were first in Par 4 scoring average.
Online sportsbooks have the biggest names in the tournament as the favorites, per usual, but the most value comes from others who excel in these categories.
Which Golfers Are Worth Betting?
Keegan Bradley could have value as he seems to fit the course relatively well. He is +3300 on the outright winner odds, but could be more deserving of a line shorter than what it is. Bradley ranks No. 4 on the PGA Tour in SG: Approach The Green above some of the best iron players in the world such as Justin Thomas.
He’s also No. 23 in GIR. Bradley does struggle in the Par 4 performance area ranking No. 92, but with four Par 4s playing 415 yards or less, he could easily compete with the longer players.
Those betting on golf may be more inclined to take some other Bradley bets as opposed to the outright winner and that’s fair to act on due to the minimized risk. It’s never easy to pick a winner in a 156 person field.
Bradley is -300 to make the cut, +300 to finish top 10, +150 to finish top 20, and is -110 on the tournament head-to-head against Cameron Tringale. There are a handful of other matchup bets involving Bradley, but his -130 odds against Robert MacIntyre may be the best bet of the entire weekend.
Over the past five years, Keegan Bradley has played in 7 cut-line events the week directly after playing in a major. The data includes 7/7 made cuts and finishes of 2nd, 4th, and 8th. #3MOpen
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Events: 7
Rds: 28
SG/rd: 1.44
Avg Finish Position: 26.4
MC: 0
Top 8s: 3— PGA Splits 101 (@PGASplits101) July 20, 2021
For those looking for a golfer with extremely long odds on sports betting sites it may be James Hahn is the guy.
Hahn is second on the PGA Tour in Par 4 Performance and Par 4 scoring average (3.96). He is also No. 22 in GIR. However, he is No. 102 in SG: Approach The Green which could ultimately impact his ceiling for this tournament.
His +15000 odds to win the event are likely not worth betting, but maybe his line of +300 to finish top 20 or +650 to finish top 10 is more enticing to a bettor. He also has head-to-head odds of +105 against Mark Hubbard for the tournament which could be worth wagering on.
Nick got involved with the world of sports at a young age and never turned his back on it. He graduated from Penn State University with a degree in Broadcast/Journalism. In his free time, you can catch him at the bottom of the leaderboards on any video game he’s playing.
