- Prop bets are now available for the PGA Championship this weekend featuring betting matchups like Jon Rahm (-175) against Brooks Koepka (+135).
- Other valuable matchups include Marc Leishman (+120) against Paul Casey (-155), Daniel Berger against Patrick Cantlay (-105), and Corey Connors (-110) against Matthew Fitzpatrick (-120).
KIAWAH ISLAND, S.C. – The PGA Championship begins this Thursday and bettors are putting together their pre-tournament betslips for the second major championship of the 2021 season.
Among the myriad of outright bets and Top 10 finishes, some of the best value of the entire tournament can come via matchup prop bets.
These are bets offered by the major online sportsbooks that put two golfers in a 1v1 battle for the duration of the tournament. It doesn’t matter who wins the event, just that they finish ahead of their counterpart.
This year, the field heads to the legendary Ocean Course in Kiawah Island, South Carolina where the course clocks in at a mammoth 7,849 yards in total distance.
This makes it the longest course to ever host a major tournament on the PGA Tour.
Add in the hectic wind that rips off the adjacent Atlantic Ocean, and these golfers are facing one of the toughest challenges of their career this weekend.
With all this in mind, there are multiple tournament matchup bets that appear to have value worth exploring.
Jon Rahm Over Brooks Koepka
Starting with a high-powered matchup between Jon Rahm and the returning Brooks Koepka, where Rahm is the heavy favorite.
Tournament Match Up - B. Koepka v J. Rahm Odds
- Brooks Koepka +135
- Jon Rahm -175
Despite the -175 price tag, Rahm is a clear-cut choice to take in this matchup.
Jon Rahm has been extremely consistent this season, racking up nine top-ten finishes while only missing the cut once in fifteen tournaments played. This includes a T5 and T7 at Augusta, a T5 at the Genesis, and a T23 at the US Open back in September.
Distance and control of that power will be paramount this week, and Rahm ranks third on Tour in strokes gained off the tee, as well as fourth in SG: tee to green.
Meanwhile, Koepka is still dealing with a nagging knee injury. After winning the Waste Management Open in February, Koepka had to withdraw from the Players Championship due to the injury.
He went on to make his return at the Masters, where he missed to cut after shooting +5 through two rounds. Koepka commented that he wanted to play the Masters just to see if he could, knowing he still was not at full strength.
Koepka says he played the Masters essentially to prove to himself that he could. pic.twitter.com/k3kLBlBFc6
— Kyle Porter (@KylePorterCBS) May 18, 2021
He also missed the cut at the Byron Nelson just last week.
While Koepka has been known to stroll off the couch and win a major championship, he is clearly still not playing at 100%.
Marc Leishman Over Paul Casey
The next pick takes two foreign-born players that know how to play in windy conditions and puts them against each other. In this one, Marc Leishman is getting the nod over Paul Casey.
Tournament Match Up - M. Leishman v P. Casey Odds
- Marc Leishman +120
- Paul Casey -155
Leishman has the exact type of low, powerful, accurate shot that can slice through the predicted 20+ MPH winds expected on Kiawah Island this week.
While Leishman isn’t one of the longest players off the tee box, he has terrific distance with his irons that will more than help him make up the 7,800 yards of this course.
Leishman has also finished T30 or better in his last three singles tournaments including winning the Zurich in his team with Cam Smith.
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While Casey is a talented player, he hasn’t finished better than T21 in his last four starts and will likely have too much pressure surrounding him after a T2 finish at last year’s PGA Championship.
Daniel Berger Over Patrick Cantlay
Those looking to bet on the PGA Championship need to key in on Daniel Berger this weekend, specifically in this matchup against Patrick Cantlay.
Tournament Match Up - D. Berger v P. Cantlay Odds
- Daniel Berger -125
- Patrick Cantlay -105
Berger is red-hot, finishing in the top 20 in four of his last five tournaments, including a third-place finish at the Byron Nelson.
Since the original pandemic hiatus last year, Berger has been extremely consistent. He won the first tournament back from the break and added a win at Pebble Beach.
Additionally, Berger ranks in the top 25 of every single strokes gained stat except for around the green.
Meanwhile, Patrick Cantlay has been out of form recently missing the cut in three of his last four tournaments.
Getting Berger for -125 here is a tremendous value.
Corey Connors Over Matthew Fitzpatrick
Those that follow the golf write-ups here are well familiar with Corey Connors, who has been a top ten machine over the last year.
This weekend, he is in a favorable matchup against Matthew Fitzpatrick.
Tournament Match Up - C. Conners v M. Fitzpatrick Odds
- Corey Conners -110
- Matthew Fitzpatrick -120
Conners has been undeniable the last year, playing the best golf of his life en route to seven top-ten finishes.
Dating back to October of 2020, Connors has finished in the top 25 in 14 of his last 18 tournaments. That is simply absurd.
He ranks 12th in SG: off the tee, 6th in SG: Approach, and 9th in SG: tee to green and should have no problems wrangling the conditions at the Ocean Course this weekend.
While Fitzpatrick does have the English-native ability to play in rough conditions as well, he simply does not have the striking to match Connors this weekend.
Matt Wallace Over Sergio Garcia
The final matchup pick for this weekend is Matt Wallace over the veteran Sergio Garcia for -120 betting odds.
Tournament Match Up - M. Wallace v S. Garcia Odds
- Matt Wallace -120
- Sergio Garcia -110
Going with one of the lesser-known names on Tour this week in Wallace to show his strength off the tee at the Ocean Course.
In his first season on Tour, Wallace has impressed many by notching two top-ten finishes and comes into the PGA hot after not finishing worse than 34th in his last five starts.
For Sergio, he still can play well off the tee, but ranks below 80th in SG: approach, around the green, and putting stats.
While Garcia can get up for big events, taking the young Wallace in this matchup is where the value lies.
Jimmy Reinman honed his skills across various mediums including print, radio, and broadcast before bringing his arsenal of knowledge to the team here at USAOnlineSportsbooks in 2020. When he’s not writing, you can find him in a state of focused stress on any College Football Saturday, or maniacally constructing NBA parlays on a cool spring evening.