- Kamaru Usman is a significant favorite over Gilbert Burns in UFC 258’s main event.
- Usman has -265 odds at BetOnline and -270 odds at Bovada.
- Usman has even odds to win the fight by decision at Bovada.
LAS VEGAS - Kamaru Usman faces a dangerous challenger in the form of Gilbert Burns this Saturday.
Usman is a significant favorite in the fight, as many people see him as the best fighter in the division, and it’s hard to argue. That said, there’s always value to be found when shopping lines, so let’s take a look at line shopping for the UFC 258 main event.
Line Shopping: Usman To Win
Usman is a significant favorite at every sportsbook, but there’s enough variance in the odds for bettors to pick up some value.
- Usman To Win @ Bovada: -270
- Usman To Win @ BetOnline: -265
- Usman To Win @ MyBookie: -265
Bettors would want to use either of the latter two sportsbooks in order to wager on Usman to win this matchup.
Line Shopping: Burns To Win
- Burns To Win @ Bovada: +210
- Burns To Win @ BetOnline: +225
- Burns To Win @ MyBookie: +205
Intriguingly, the odds on Burns actually vary far more than the odds on Usman. BetOnline has Burns at +225, despite having Usman at -265.
MyBookie, which has Usman at -265, has Burns at +210, meaning that BetOnline provides equal or better odds on both fighters. Those looking for an underdog bet here will want to stick with BetOnline to get the best value.
Line Shopping: Method Of Victory
One place that UFC betting fans can get their money’s worth is wagering on specific fight outcomes.
Usman is known as an elite fighter on the judge’s scorecards, with over 50% of his wins coming via decision. Burns, meanwhile, racked up 47% of his wins via submission, and 32% of his wins via KO or TKO. Only 21% of his wins have come from decisions.
For this line shopping analysis, two sportsbooks are under the microscope - Bovada and BetOnline.
Kamaru Usman vs Gilbert Burns - Method of Victory - Bovada
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- Kamaru Usman Wins By Decision Or Technical Decision EVEN
- Gilbert Burns Wins By Decision Or Technical Decision +625
- Kamaru Usman Wins By KO, TKO Or DQ +250
- Gilbert Burns Wins By KO, TKO Or DQ +575
- Kamaru Usman Wins By Submission +1800
- Gilbert Burns Wins By Submission +550
- Draw Or Technical Draw +5000
Kamaru Usman vs Gilbert Burns - Method of Victory - BetOnline
- Kamaru Usman by Points +110
- Kamaru Usman by KO/TKO or DQ +265
- Kamaru Usman by Submission +2000
- Gilbert Burns by Points +600
- Gilbert Burns by KO/TKO or DQ +600
- Gilbert Burns by Submission +600
- Draw +5500
For bettors who want to wager on Usman winning by decision, BetOnline offers +110 odds compared to Bovada’s +100. Usman by KO is +250 at Bovada and +265 at BetOnline, marking yet another win for BetOnline in this comparison.
Usman by submission is highly unlikely, with Bovada giving it +1800 odds and BetOnline giving it +2000 odds.
Burns by decision is +625 at Bovada, and +600 at BetOnline, marking a win for Bovada in the odds comparison.
Burns by KO is +575 at Bovada and +600 at BetOnline, putting BetOnline ahead once again. Burns by Submission is given +550 odds at Bovada, and +600 odds at BetOnline, while a draw is +5000 at Bovada and +5500 at BetOnline.
In six of the seven wagers discussed, BetOnline has slightly better odds than Bovada, with the one exception being Burns by decision.
Given this, the utility of line shopping is immediately apparent - getting better odds is always a win.
Best of luck to all those wagering on UFC 258!
Maxwell joined the USAOnlineSportsbooks team in 2019. He focuses on creating sports betting content that informs and educates. He focuses on the NBA, the NFL, College Football and Basketball, and whatever else comes across his desk.
