- NBA All-Star Weekend continues on Saturday night with the 3-Point Contest.
- Eight players with odds ranging from +300 to +1000 will battle it out.
- A look into this season’s shooting percentages, attempts, and makes helps narrow down likely winners.
SALT LAKE CITY, Utah – The NBA 3-Point Contest during All-Star Weekend is set to begin on Saturday night between eight of the NBA’s best shooters. Stars that headline the event include Damian Lillard and Jayson Tatum facing off against sharpshooting specialists like Buddy Hield and Kevin Huerter.
While everyone in the contest is generally an above average shooter, the season makes, attempts and shooting percentage stats will be invaluable to close in on the best value competitor. Online betting sites have given each of the players profit-friendly odds, with +300 for Damian Lillard as the favorite.
3-Point Contest Winner Odds
- Damian Lillard (POR) +300
- Buddy Hield (IND) +325
- Kevin Huerter (SAC) +500
- Jayson Tatum (BOS) +650
- Lauri Markkanen (UTA) +750
- Tyler Herro (MIA) +800
- Tyrese Haliburton (IND) +800
- Julius Randle (NYK) +1000
How Do the Season Stats Line Up?
While we know that all of the players here are generally known to be great shooters, the odds do not necessarily follow their three-point percentages, allowing for some statistical analysis to reveal the best value. Among all the players available, Buddy Hield and Lauri Markkanen boast the highest percentage of threes made, with 42.6% and 41.3% respectively.
However, percentages do not tell the whole story, especially for volume shooters like Lillard, who shoots a staggering 11 threes per game and converts four of them, both the highest among the competition. By percentage though, Lillard is only ahead of Randle, Tatum, and Herro.
In terms of pure volume of shots taken and made, only Lillard and Hield make more than 3.5 a game, while Tatum, Hield, and Lillard are the only ones who take nine or more attempts per game.
Between these three stats, one player in particular sits at or near the top of all three categories: Indiana Pacers Guard Buddy Hield. While Hield is not the volume shooter that Lillard is at nine attempts to Dame’s 11, he is far more efficient, making only 0.4 threes less per game while shooting over five percentage points higher.
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With online sportsbooks giving Hield +325 odds, he presents a great value with tons of profit potential. While other players feature longer odds, none stack up to the stats that Hield has accrued this season, especially in the 3PT% column.
Even Lillard, who is the favorite at +300 due to his huge volume of shots taken and made, pales in comparison to the raw efficiency of Hield’s game. A testament to his already impressive season is that he has captured the Pacers’ single season 3-Pointers made record, jumping ahead of legendary shooter Reggie Miller. Keep in mind that there are still over 20 games remaining on the season and that this record stood for 26 years.
With the combination of being top three in virtually every three-point shooting stat among all contestants and a record-shattering shooting season for the Pacers, Hield looks poised to bring home the trophy and cash in on the very nice +325 odds.
Jeremias began writing 4 years ago after beginning his career at Florida State University. He mainly focuses on using analytics and statistics to educate readers on trends and discoveries to get a leg up on sportsbooks. He mainly focuses on NFL, NHL, and NBA. During his free time, you can find him researching, writing, and betting on various sports.
