SERVPRO First Responder Bowl: Can UTSA Overcome The Odds?

  • The Louisiana Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns have -560 odds to defeat UTSA.
  • The spread for the game favors ULL by about 13 points depending on the sportsbook one uses.
  • The O/U line for the game is set at 57.5, but trends indicate that an under is likely.

LAS VEGAS - The SERVPRO First Responder Bowl, which pits Louisiana Lafayette against Texas-San Antonio looks to be a pretty interesting one with ULL ranked 19th in the nation, and notable favorites against UTSA.

They had a great year this year, going 9-1 overall, which is notable not just for being an impressive record, but because of the number of games played - many teams didn’t even play nine games, let alone win them.

UTSA, meanwhile, had a genuinely good season, finishing the year at 7-4, and losing out on the C-USA Western division to eventual champs UAB.

SERVPRO First Responders Bowl - ULL vs. UTSA

  • UTSA +380
  • ULL -560

Jeff Traylor of UTSA is in his first year in charge of the program, and will be looking to start it off right with a win in this bowl game matchup.

SERVPRO First Responders Bowl - ULL vs. UTSA

  • UTSA +13.5
  • ULL -13.5

This is a spread that is close enough to two touchdowns that line shopping and keeping an eye on how this moves are both very good ideas.

The gap between 13.5 and 14.0 or 14.5 is pretty minimal, but an extremely important gap given how football scoring works. Getting a hook for free is a very solid play, so if one is able to find this spread at 14.0 or 14.5, that could be an interesting play.

The spread opened at ULL -13.0, which means there has been a bit of movement so far, but not enough to push it over the two-touchdown range.

Louisiana Lafayette enters this matchup with a good straight-up record, but against the spread in certain situations they have fallen short. They are 5-5 against the spread overall, demonstrating that the online sportsbooks have a good handle on them.

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In addition, they are 2-5 ATS against teams with winning records - of which UTSA is one.

UTSA, meanwhile, has a 4-0 record in their last four games on turf, which is an interesting trend.

UTSA vs. ULL O/U

  • Over 57.5 -115
  • Under 57.5 -115

This matchup has a relatively high O/U at 57.5, which makes some sense. ULL is 28th in FBS in points per game, while UTSA is 66th.

In other words, both teams are in the top half of FBS in terms of points scored per game.

However, the trends seem to indicate a possible Under here. The last five times that UTSA entered a game as an underdog, the Under has hit.

In addition, in the last five games that ULL has played against teams with winning records, the Under has hit.

The question for college football betting followers is whether or not these trends will hold up in the head to head matchup.