- Out of the top five most favorited drivers, three of them are past Pennzoil 400 winners.
- Joey Logano sports +800 odds and has won the race twice, more than anyone else in the pool.
- Last year’s winner, Alex Bowman, has +2000 odds to win again.
LAS VEGAS – The Pennzoil 400 is set to begin on Sunday with a qualifying race on Saturday to determine the starting lineup. The top three drivers by odds have all won the event before, with Kyle Larson winning twice in a row (2019, 2020).
Last year’s winner, Alex Bowman, has been given +2000 to repeat his recent success. Online sportsbooks have listed odds led by Kyle Busch, who is fresh off a win at the Pala Casino 400.
Top Five Odds to Win the NASCAR Pennzoil 400
- Kyle Busch +650
- Kyle Larson +750
- Joey Logano +800
- Ryan Blaney +800
- Ross Chastain +850
Race and Track History Reveals Notable Trends
Among all drivers, only the above five have odds that are in the triple digits, and for good reason. Of the most favored winners for the Pennzoil 400, each of the top three have claimed at least one major win on this track.
The most recent winner on the Las Vegas Motor Speedway is Joey Logano (+800), who won the South Point 400 in October of last year. Logano is also the winningest driver of any in the competition when it comes to this specific track, with three first place finishes in his 10 most recent races.
The most recent winner of the Pennzoil 400 that is also in the top five for odds is Kyle Larson, who won in 2021 and finished as the runner-up to Alex Bowman in 2022. In Larson’s last 10 races at Las Vegas Motor Speedway, he has finished in the top three in five of them and outside the top 10 in just two.
Kyle Busch is the leading favorite ahead of the qualifying race with +650 odds. While Busch has not won an event at this track since his 2009 Pennzoil 400 win, he has finished within the top five in four straight races. Over his last 10 finishes at this speedway, he has finished outside the top eight in just two of them and inside the top five in six.
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Something notable to check for these three is the relationship between their average starting position and averaging finish, as having a high starting place could prove to be a big advantage.
Over the last five years, the average starting and finishing positions on this track for the top three drivers by odds are as follows:
| Driver | Average Starting Position | Averaged Finish |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Busch | 16.2 | 3.8 |
| Kyle Larson | 7.2 | 11.4 |
| Joey Logano | 8.0 | 9.8 |
A couple conclusions can be made using this data: notably that Kyle Busch has performed phenomenally regardless of his starting position, while Logano and Larson tend to be influenced more by where they begin the race.
With a combination of a major win just a week ago, a very impressive streak in his recent races at Las Vegas, and not needing to start in a great position to succeed, Busch is rightfully the favorite on online sportsbooks. He features nice +650 odds, which may become a good bit shorter if he is able to perform well in the qualifiers.
As more of an underdog pick, Joey Logano offers the best historical performance on this track, with at least two more wins than anyone else in the entire race. At the huge +800 odds, Logano will look to become just the third driver to ever win the Pennzoil 400 three or more times while cashing in big profit for his supporters.
Jeremias began writing 4 years ago after beginning his career at Florida State University. He mainly focuses on using analytics and statistics to educate readers on trends and discoveries to get a leg up on sportsbooks. He mainly focuses on NFL, NHL, and NBA. During his free time, you can find him researching, writing, and betting on various sports.
