- Novak Djokovic has -150 odds to win the 2021 US Open.
- Djokovic has won the other three Grand Slam tournaments this year.
- He fell short in the Olympics, however, and that could presage his fall in this tournament.
FLUSHING, N.Y. - The US Open is set to begin on Monday, and the top of the odds boards remain mostly unchanged after the initial draw and the end of qualifying tournaments. Novak Djokovic is still the dominant favorite to win the event, with -150 odds to win his fourth major tournament this year, and complete the Grand Slam.
Djokovic has three major rivals in this tournament after both Rafael Nadal and Roger Federer dropped out in the run-up to the start date.
Those rivals are Daniil Medvedev, Alexander Zverev and Stefanos Tsitsipas, the second, fourth and third-ranked men’s tennis players in the world respectively.
US Open Men's 2021 Winner Odds
- Novak Djokovic -150
- Daniil Medvedev +350
- Alexander Zverev +550
- Stefanos Tsitsipas +800
- Andrey Rublev +2800
- Jannik Sinner +2800
- Matteo Berrettini +3300
- Denis Shapovalov +4000
- Casper Ruud +6600
- Hubert Hurkacz +8000
- Pablo Carreno-Busta +8000
The tiers of tennis become very obvious when examining these betting odds. Djokovic, unparalleled, at the top, followed by Medvedev, Zverev and Tsitispas.
Then, a gap, and players like Andrey Rublev, Jannik Sinner and Matteo Berrettini - players who have a shot in any individual matchup, but are unlikely to run the gauntlet to a victory - like Pablo Carreno-Busta, who defeated Djokovic at the Olympics to deny him a chance at the Bronze medal, a feat none have accomplished in major tournaments this year.
Djokovic could be vulnerable after a woeful Olympic performance, and if he is eliminated, the chances for everyone else to win would skyrocket on the online sportsbooks.
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Longshots Odds Falling
While those men are the only ones with odds under +1000, it seems that there has been a bit of stratification in terms of odds as the tournament approached.
On Thursday, Felix Auger-Aliassime had +5000 odds to win, while Andy Murray had +10000 odds to win, and Aslan Karatsev had +3300 odds to win. Now, all three have fallen dramatically. Auger-Aliassime has +10000 odds to win, while Murray has +20000 and Karatsev has +15000 odds to win.
With these changes, tennis betting fans can see the continuing stratification of the betting odds. This is what happens when there’s a -150 favorite in a large field, followed by three men who are all likely to take Djokovic’s spot if he falls.
There’s simply not a lot of room for long-shot bets in the US Open this year - the top players are just too good.
Maxwell joined the USAOnlineSportsbooks team in 2019. He focuses on creating sports betting content that informs and educates. He focuses on the NBA, the NFL, College Football and Basketball, and whatever else comes across his desk.
