NBA Play-In Betting: Los Angeles Lakers vs. Golden State Warriors Odds, Trends, Picks

  • The Golden State Warriors are +175 on the moneyline as 5-point underdogs.
  • The Los Angeles Lakers are set at -210 betting favorites.

LOS ANGELES – The Los Angeles Lakers will host the Golden State Warriors on Wednesday night in a play-in game where the winner will earn the No. 7 seed in the playoffs and face the Phoenix Suns in a best-of-seven series. Here’s a full betting odds breakdown for the Lakers vs. Warriors.

Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors Betting Odds

  • Moneyline: LAL -210, GSW +175
  • Spread: LAL -5
  • Total: O/U 219.5

Should The Lakers Be Favored?

Both teams enter the game on sizable winning streaks. The Lakers won each of their final five games of the regular season while the Warriors have won six straight games going into the play-in tournament. However, the Warriors have been in a good form for much longer than LA.

Golden State has won 15 of their last 20 games while Los Angeles is 10-10 over their last 20. The Lakers have had a slew of injuries to deal with, but LeBron James should be good to go against the Warriors on Wednesday night, meaning the Lakers are pretty much at full strength at the perfect time.

The Warriors go as far as Steph Curry can take them. He’s led the team in scoring in 22 of their last 26 games and has scored 30+ in 21 of those games and 40+ in eight of them. If the Warriors are going to win, Curry needs to have a huge night.

Curry has struggled against the Lakers this season through three matchups. He shot a combined 42.3% from the field, 34.6% from deep, and averaged 23 points, 5.3 assists and 2.6 assists per game. All of these numbers are below his season averages.

Online sportsbooks may be overvaluing the Lakers odds against Golden State a little, but, on paper, Los Angeles should still win the game. In terms of value, the Warriors are a fine play on the moneyline as well as the spread, but a healthy Lakers team is a dangerous foe.

Picks: Los Angeles Lakers (-210), Golden State Warriors +5 (-110)

Over or Under 219.5 Points?

This is a tricky line because it’s pretty low, but maybe deservingly so. The Lakers and Warriors are both in the top 10 in the fewest points allowed per game over the last 15 contests with 109.4 and 109.0, respectively. The Lakers are also 25th in scoring over that span, posting just 107.3 points per game.

However, as mentioned before, these teams have played three times this season and the totals of those games were 228, 225, and 208. Also, four of the Warriors’ last five games have gone over this mark, hitting at least 230 in all four.

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It’s always tough to project how a team’s defense will be at the beginning of the postseason, but it seems that NBA betting sites might be undervaluing a healthy Lakers roster and the absolute tear that Curry is on right now.

Pick: Over 219.5 (-110)

Prop Bets To Look At

This will surely be the most-watched play-in game due to the star power on both teams, and thus we are greeted with many prop bets to choose from. Here are a few interesting ones.

Steph Curry Under 36.5 Points (-115)

As previously mentioned, Curry has struggled against Los Angeles this season. His highest scoring outing against LA is 27 this year. Despite his historic run, getting 37 points against the Lakers might be asking for a little too much.

LeBron James Under 43.5 Pts + Reb + Ast (-120)

James hasn’t eclipsed this number since March 18 against the Charlotte Hornets. He’s battling an ankle injury, although the severity is up in the air, and could differ to Anthony Davis to take over the game. Even if he’s healthy, he recorded just one rebound in 27 minutes in the last game he played. Betting the under could be the play.

Andre Drummond Over 11.5 Points (-105)

Andre Drummond has become the main pick and roll screener in Los Angeles and should be able to get some easy looks with guys like LeBron dishing him the ball. He’s also been averaging 15 points over the last four games.

How to Watch

Tip-off is set to 10 p.m. EST on Wednesday night. The game will be aired on ESPN.