- Pete Alonso (+500) has a good chance to overtake the favorites as the defending champion.
- The Over/Under for longest home run is set at 515.5 feet with the Under being the betting favorite.
- Left-handed hitters have -200 odds and are favored over right-handed hitters.
DENVER – The Home Run Derby is set to start on Monday night. Shohei Ohtani will be the main talk of the event, but he may not be the best bet to win the whole thing. Further, there’s plenty of other betting opportunities as well.
Best Bets To Win The Home Run Derby
Ohtani is favored to win, and rightfully so as he leads the league in home runs. However, in an eight-man tournament, it may be beneficial to try and beat the chalk.
There are a few contestants with betting value aside from the favorites.
Pete Alonso (+500)
Pete Alonso is the defending champion of the event and is still listed as the third betting option on online sportsbooks. He is looking to become just the third player in MLB history to win back-to-back.
He’s proven to be successful in the event and has the power to thrive.
Juan Soto (+950)
If anyone were to just look at the odds, many would pick out that Juan Soto should have shorter odds, and maybe he should.
The problem is that Soto has a very tough draw and would have to get through Shohei Ohtani in the first round and Alonso in the second if he were to make the championship. However, to those betting on the Home Run Derby, if Soto can beat Ohtani and if Alonso gets upset, he may become the favorite to win the whole thing.
Longest Home Run Length
The total set for the longest home run hit is at an astronomical 515.5 feet.
Despite being in Denver where the air is thin and balls tend to travel, the Under has the shorter odds.
Longest Home Run Odds
- Over 515.5 EVEN
- Under 515.5 -140
To put this in perspective, no home run has ever been tracked at 515.5 feet in the StatCast era with Aaron Judge’s 513-foot blast in 2017 taking the top spot.
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Will the Denver atmosphere help a hitter set a new record? The longest field goal in NFL history was set in Denver, so maybe the longest home run could follow.
Odds Favor Lefties Over Righties
If anyone feels more comfortable betting on a group of batters as opposed to individuals, sports betting sites are offering the prop of all right-handed hitters against all left-handed hitters.
Righty vs Lefty Winner Odds
- Right-Handed +150
- Left-Handed -200
The lefties get the two favorites in the event in Ohtani and Joey Gallo and also add Matt Olson and Soto. That leaves the right-handed hitters with Alonso, Trevor Story, Trey Mancini and Salvador Perez.
Given that the odds essentially rule out Perez and Mancini, bettors might be better off going with Alonso and Story individually rather than take the whole group.
Other Prop Bets
There are many more opportunities to get money in on the Home Run Derby action, a couple of the options are as followed.
Winning League
American League is favored with -200 odds as opposed to the +150 odds for the National League.
Round 1 Totals
Every competitor has first-round totals set for home run total. Ohtani and Gallo have the highest total at 23.5 while Trey Mancini, Juan Soto and Salvador Perez have the lowest at 17.5.
Most Round 1 Home Runs
The total for most home runs in the first round by any player is set at 24.5 with the Over being a -140 favorite.
Nick got involved with the world of sports at a young age and never turned his back on it. He graduated from Penn State University with a degree in Broadcast/Journalism. In his free time, you can catch him at the bottom of the leaderboards on any video game he’s playing.
