- The Kansas City Chiefs are 4.0-point favorites against the Miami Dolphins at Arrowhead Stadium.
- Miami is 0-9 outright and 2-9 against the spread in cold weather games under 40 degrees.
- Tua Tagovailoa has -135 odds to go under 239.5 passing yards on Saturday night.
KANSAS CITY, Mo. – Saturday night’s Wild Card matchup favors the Kansas City Chiefs by 4.0 points against the Miami Dolphins. Cold weather at Arrowhead Stadium brings value to the Chiefs cashing their -210 moneyline odds.
Kansas City is the betting favorite at USA online sportsbooks thanks to home-field advantage and a Week 9 head-to-head victory. The Chiefs won nine of their last 10 home playoff games since 2019.
Miami Dolphins Vs Kansas City Chiefs Betting Lines
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Dolphins | +4.0 (-105) | +175 | O44.5 (-105) |
| Kansas City Chiefs | -4.0 (-115) | -210 | U44.5 (-115) |
In their last nine games played in 40 degrees or colder weather, the Dolphins are 0-9 and are 2-7 against the spread. The Chiefs have -115 odds at Missouri online sportsbooks to cover the 4.0-point spread on Saturday night.
Weather Impacts Betting On Chiefs and Tua Tagovailoa
According to the National Weather Service, Saturday will have a high of 11 degrees and a low of -5 degrees Fahrenheit. The wind chill is expected to drop the weather to -21 degrees, making it especially tough for the Dolphins.
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Tua Tagovailoa has also struggled in cold conditions, posting an 0-4 record when the kickoff temperature is below 45 degrees. Tagovailoa has a 55.5% completion percentage and a 71.8 passer rating in those games.
- Over 239.5 Passing Yards +105
- Under 239.5 Passing Yards -135
As a result, sportsbooks for the NFL favor the under (-135) for Tagovailoa’s passing yards projection. The Dolphins quarterback went under 239.5 passing yards in three of his last four games.
Zach graduated from Florida State University after majoring in Writing, Editing, and Media with a minor in Communication. He has a passion for sports betting and specializes in DFS for NFL, NBA, and MLB. At the casino, you can find Zach playing blackjack or roulette.
