History Shows Only 10 Golfers Can Win Tour Championship, Fade Scottie

  • Scottie Scheffler is the betting favorite (+115) to win the PGA Tour Championship, but don’t assume he’s a lock to win just because he’s getting strokes on the field.
  • Scheffler was the top seed in each of the last two Tour Championships but failed to win.
  • Only players inside the top 10 have won with a staggered start, so there’s better value down the Tour Championship odds board with Xander Schauffele (+230) and Wyndham Clark (+3500).

ATLANTAPGA Tour Championship odds favor Scottie Scheffler at +115 odds, but he’s not a guarantee to win despite convincing odds. There are other players with more attractive odds at online sportsbooks that can win the 2024 Tour Championship at East Lake Golf Club.

PGA Tour Championship Odds

  • Scottie Scheffler +115
  • Xander Schauffele +230
  • Hideki Matsuyama +1000
  • Rory McIlroy +1600
  • Ludvig Aberg +1800
  • Collin Morikawa +2500
  • Keegan Bradley +3000
  • Sam Burns +3000
  • Patrick Cantlay +3500
  • Wyndham Clark +3500

No player outside the top 10 has ever won since the PGA Tour Championship introduced the FedExCup staggered start format in 2019. Out of those five winners, only two were the top seed starting at 10 under par.

In fact, Scottie Scheffler was the top seed in 2023 and 2022 but failed to win either Tour Championship. Xander Schauffele and a longshot at Georgia online sportsbooks are better wagers than the No. 1 golfer in the world.

Bet Schauffele (+230), Clark (+3500) To Win Tour Championship

Xander Schauffele will start the Tour Championship at eight-under par, just two strokes behind Scottie Scheffler. He’s been exceptional on Tour this season and finished second at East Lake Golf Club in last year’s event despite being tied for the lowest total strokes.

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Schauffele won’t have to deal with the same disadvantage this year and has great value to win with +230 odds. He shot rounds of 67, 64, 68, and 62 at East Lake last year and returns to the course with confidence after a T-5 finish at the 2024 BMW Championship.

The best longshot at US online golf sportsbooks is Wyndham Clark, who has +3500 odds to win the Tour Championship starting at four-under-par. Despite struggles in May and June, Clark has turned it around of late and posted a T-7 finish at the FedEx St. Jude Championship and a T-13 finish at the BMW Championship.

Clark also finished third at the 2023 Tour Championship, proving he’s familiar with East Lake conditions. It will be tough to overcome four and six-stroke deficits to Schauffele and Scheffler, but Clark has the ability to get it done as a +3500 longshot.