- The Week 11 college football betting slate features several great matchups, headlined by five matchups featuring two ranked opponents.
- Out of the five matchups featuring two ranked teams on the slate, the Iowa Hawkeyes are the biggest favorite, laying six points to the Minnesota Golden Gophers.
AUBURN, Ala. - This week’s college football slate is full of solid matchups, headlined by five matchups between ranked teams.
This SEC West showdown opened with the hosting Auburn Tigers favored by 6 points, but has since moved slightly to 5.5 - expect the line to continue to move in Auburn’s favor until it settles somewhere around the 3.5 mark.
Last week, Auburn got manhandled by Texas A&M, failing to cover as 4.5-point underdogs. The loss dropped the Tigers to 6-3 (5-4 ATS). On the other hand, Mississippi State also lost their matchup with Arkansas, but did manage to cover the 4-point spread and move to 5-4 both outright and against the spread.
(#13) Auburn Tigers Vs. (#17) Mississippi State Bulldogs Betting Odds
- Auburn -5.5 (-110)
- Mississippi State +5.5 (-110)
- Auburn -220
- Mississippi State +180
- Over 50 (-110)
- Under 50 (-110)
Mississippi State’s offense utilized the passing attack to great effect against Arkansas, with quarterback Will Rogers racking up 417 passing yards and four touchdowns on 36 completions. Auburn’s defense has been fairly mediocre against the pass in 2021, ranking 58th in the NCAA in total passing yardage allowed, making the matchup between Mississippi State’s passing offense and Auburn’s secondary the one to watch.
(#18) Baylor Bears Vs. (#4) Oklahoma Sooners Betting Odds
- Oklahoma -5.5 (-110)
- Baylor +5.5 (-110)
- Oklahoma -220
- Baylor +180
- Over 63 (-110)
- Under 63 (-110)
Oklahoma opened as 6.5-point road favorites for this week’s Big 12 showdown against Baylor, but early betting action has moved the line one point to 5.5.
Last week, Oklahoma put a beatdown on Texas Tech, covering as huge 19-point favorites to move them to 9-0 (4-5 ATS). On the other side, Baylor is coming off a huge disappointment last week when they fell to the TCU Horned Frogs 30-28 as 7.5-point favorites. The hosting Baylor Bears have covered the spread in each of their last five home games.
TCU racked up 460 passing yards in their upset over Baylor, a trend that has hurt Baylor all year as they rank 80th in the NCAA in passing yards allowed per game. This might be bad news for Baylor bettors against an Oklahoma team that ranks 20th in college football in passing yards per game.
(#22) Iowa Hawkeyes Vs. (#20) Minnesota Golden Gophers Betting Odds
- Iowa -6 (-110)
- Minnesota +6 (-110)
- Iowa -240
- Minnesota +200
- Over 37 (-110)
- Under 37 (-110)
The Hawkeyes opened as 6.5-point home favorites on online sportsbooks, but the line has since moved a half-point to 6.
Both teams had somewhat disappointing showings last week. Iowa squeaked by the Northwestern Wildcats 17-12, failing to cover as 12-point favorites. The Hawkeyes sit at 7-2 outright, but the non-cover puts them at a 5-4 record against the spread. On the other hand, Minnesota disappointed even more getting upset by the Illinois Fighting Illini 14-6 as a 14.5 point favorite to fall to 6-3 (5-3-1 ATS).
The Hawkeyes have covered the spread in each of the last five meetings between the two teams, as well as in 10 of their last 15 games overall. The points total has gone under in four of the last five matchups between the two teams, in eight of Iowa’s last ten games, and in five of Minnesota’s last seven games.
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The matchup looks to be a typical Big 10-style low-scoring field position battle as evidenced by the low 37 point total. Both defenses are among the best in the NCAA, with Iowa ranking fifth in college football in points allowed per game while Minnesota ranks 15th in the same category.
(#16) Ole’ Miss Rebels Vs. (#14) Texas A&M Aggies Betting Odds
- Texas A&M -2.5 (-115)
- Ole’ Miss +2.5 (-105)
- Texas A&M -135
- Ole’ Miss +115
- Over 55.5 (-110)
- Under 55.5 (-110)
Texas A&M impressed again last week, defeating the Auburn Tigers 20-3 as 4.5-point favorites to improve to 7-2 (6-3 ATS). The victory extended A&M’s winning streak to four games, dating back to their upset win over Alabama. Ole’ Miss also handled their business last week, defeating the Liberty Flames 27-14 as 7.5-point favorites to improve to 7-2 (5-3-1 ATS).
Texas A&M has been very good on the road recently, covering the spread on five consecutive road trips. They have also covered the spread in four of their last five games overall.
Ole’ Miss’ 2021 games have been very productive for under bettors, as the points total has gone under in five of their last six games overall. The under has also historically been the play in matchups between the two teams, with the total going under in each of their last six matchups, as well as in four of the last five matchups between the two teams when Ole’ Miss was home.
The under looks even more attractive when considering the ability of the two defenses: Texas A&M ranks second in the NCAA in points allowed per game, while Ole’ Miss ranks 71 in the same category.
(#9) Wake Forest Demon Deacons Vs. (#19) North Carolina State Wolfpack Betting Odds
- Wake Forest -2 (-110)
- North Carolina State +2 (-110)
- Wake Forest -130
- North Carolina State +110
- Over 66.5 (-110)
- Under 66.5 (-110)
Wake Forest opened as 3-point favorites on online sportsbooks, but the line has moved to 2 points as a result of early betting action. The line may continue to move throughout the week, and may settle in the 1-point range.
North Carolina State did what they were expected to do last week against Florida State, beating them 28-14 to cover the spread as 3-point favorites and improve to 7-2 (6-3 ATS). On the other hand, Wake Forest is coming off a disappointing 58-55 loss to North Carolina last week, failing to cover as 2.5 point underdogs and falling to 8-1 (4-5 ATS).
North Carolina State has covered the spread in eight of their last 11 games overall, but have struggled immensely against Wake Forest, covering in just one of their last 11 matchups between the two teams. The points total has gone over in eight of North Carolina State’s last 11 road games, as well as in four of Wake Forest’s last five games overall.
Jerad is a new addition to the USAOnlineSportbooks.com writing team, writing about all things related to sports gambling. As an ex-college baseball player, he pairs a first-hand knowledge of the inner workings of high-level sports teams with years of experience successfully betting on many different sports in order to bring valuable insights to bettors. He also studied political science at UCF, equipping him with the knowledge to cover the political, legal, and legislative aspects of sports gambling.
