- The Capital One Orange Bowl sees Texas A&M taking on UNC in a compelling matchup.
- A&M was ranked fifth by the CFP committee, just outside of the Playoff.
- UNC has +240 odds to win the game, which makes them a bit underrated according to ESPN’s FPI.
LAS VEGAS - The Capital One Orange Bowl should be a very solid matchup this year, despite not being part of the College Football Playoff.
The Orange Bowl pits #5 Texas A&M against #13 UNC in a matchup that seems a bit lopsided on the sportsbooks.
Texas A&M did not get a chance to make the playoff, despite only losing to Alabama this year, and winning every other game.
They might have a fire under them going into this game, as Coach Jimbo Fisher was adamant that the Aggies were one of the best teams in the nation.
"I don't care what league you're in. If you're gonna pick the best four teams, we're one of them," said Fisher.
The Aggies will have a chance to prove their dominance when faced with UNC, who have been one of the better teams in the ACC this year.
However, a matchup between the second or third best SEC team and the third best ACC team does seem lopsided at this point.
Orange Bowl Odds - Texas A&M vs. UNC
- UNC +240
- Texas A&M -290
The Aggies are -290 favorites on the moneyline in this matchup, and that gives them a very good chance to win the game.
Using those odds to calculate implied win percentages gives the Aggies a 71.66% chance of winning the matchup, with UNC sitting at 28.34%.
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ESPN’s FPI, meanwhile, has the percentages a bit different, in a way that implies that UNC might be underrated in this matchup.
FPI has the Aggies with a 63.4% chance to win, while UNC has a 37.6% chance to win. This means that there might be value in wagering on UNC, if one trusts FPI.
Orange Bowl - Texas A&M vs. UNC
- UNC +7.5 (-110)
- Texas A&M -7.5 (-110)
This matchup sees UNC as a 7.5-point underdog, which is fairly intriguing from a line shopping perspective.
As the game draws closer, it could be beneficial to check multiple sportsbooks to look for Texas A&M -7.0 if one wanted to wager on the Aggies.
The hook is going against them currently, and the line has been moving in their direction as well, so the sooner bettors do this, the better.
The line opened at Texas A&M -6 at most online sportsbooks, and could continue to move towards them, as it appears money is coming in on their side of the bet.
In other words, it seems like the lines opened at something closer to what FPI predicted, but bettors hammering the Aggies moved them to a point at which UNC might be underrated.
This matchup looks like a very solid one for football watchers, and college football bettors will be treated to an intriguing betting matchup.
Maxwell joined the USAOnlineSportsbooks team in 2019. He focuses on creating sports betting content that informs and educates. He focuses on the NBA, the NFL, College Football and Basketball, and whatever else comes across his desk.
