2023 Hot Dog Eating Contest Betting Outside of Joey Chestnut

• Geoffrey Esper is the best bet with -240 odds to win the 2023 Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest outside of Joey Chestnut.
• Miki Sudo’s total hot dogs eaten projection is 43.5, a number she has gone over just once in eight contest wins.
• There are -130 odds on the under for Miki Sudo’s total for the Fourth of July contest.

BROOKLYN, N.Y. – With Joey Chestnut listed as a -5000 favorite to win the 2023 Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest, betting on the winner without Chestnut and the women’s competition provide better value. Geoffrey Esper is the best bet to win the 2023 Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest without Joey Chestnut at -240 odds.

The annual Fourth of July Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest is one of the best entertainment betting events of the year. A great way to bet on this year’s contest is on the winner without Joey Chestnut.

Winner Without Joey Chestnut Betting Odds

• Geoffrey Esper -240
• Nick Wehry +250
• Darron Breeden +600
• James Webb +900
• Gideon Oji +1400

Geoffrey Esper with -240 odds is the best bet here based on his Major League Eating rankings position right behind Joey Chestnut.

In 2019, Esper beat Chestnut in a mini-donut eating contest, by 35 donuts. This doesn’t mean that Esper will claim his +1000 odds to win the 2023 Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest, but it does prove that he can compete against Joey Chestnut.

Geoff Esper’s -240 as the winner outside of Chestnut are validated by finishing as the runner up in the last two events. Esper finished 47.5 hot dogs in 2022 and 50 in 2021.

Geoffrey Esper Total Hot Dogs Odds

• Over 48.5 -110
• Under 48.5 -130

Odds at USA online sportsbooks are leaning towards Esper falling short of his 48.5-dog projection, with -130 odds on the under.

Women’s Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest

Miki Sudo is the betting favorite with -5000 odds in to win the Women’s Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest, establishing similar dominance to Chestnut. Sudo won each year from 2014-2020, missed 2021 due to pregnancy, then returned to her throne in 2022 with a win.

Miki Sudo Total Hot Dogs

• Over 43.5 -110
• Under 43.5 -130

This line is awfully high for Sudo, who has only gone over 43.5 hot dogs once in her eight wins at Coney Island. Sudo shattered the women’s world record in 2020 with 48.5 hot dogs eaten, but this was her only contest with over 41 hot dogs eaten.

Despite Miki Sudo’s dominance over the women’s competition, the Bovada Sportsbook line is set too high at 43.5 hot dogs eaten. Bet the -130 odds for under 43.5 hot dogs eaten by Miki Sudo in Tuesday’s contest.