Betting on the Over in Game One of the World Series

  • Despite the presence of Aaron Nola and Justin Verlander on the mound, the best bet of Game
  • One of the World Series is on the over.
  • The total is set at 6.5 runs with the over favored at -125 odds.

HOUSTON - Aaron Nola and Justin Verlander share the rubber on Friday night when Game One of the World Series between the Philadelphia Phillies and Houston Astros begins.

With both team's aces on the mound, Bovada has given Game One a total of just 6.5.

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Philadelphia Phillies vs Houston Astros Game One Odds

Team - Pitcher: Runline: Moneyline: Total:
Philadelphia Phillies - Aaron Nola (R) +1.5 (-160) +139 O 6.5 (-125)
Houston Astros - Justin Verlander (R) -1.5 (+135) -165 U 6.5 (+105)

Betting the Over for Game One

Despite the presence of Nola and Verlander on the mound, key trends indicate that Game One is likely to go over 6.5 runs at online sportsbooks:

  • The over has hit in five of the Phillies’ last seven games this postseason. Dating back to October 1, the over has it in 11 of the Phillies' last 17 games.
  • Despite Verlander's microscopic 1.75 ERA this season, MLB sportsbooks have figured him out and had the over hit in three of his past four starts.
  • Philadelphia and Houston hitters rank second and third in the MLB this postseason in OPS against right-handers and first and second in home run rates against righties.
  • The Astros have a 55.6% over rate throughout the season in interleague games.
    After a win, the Phillies have an MLB-best 60.9% over rate. The over has gone 56-36-3.