- A.J. Brown’s receiving yard total is set at 1025.5 with -115 odds on both sides.
- Davante Adams has -110 odds to go over 10.5 touchdowns in 2022.
- Tyreek Hill has -115 odds to go over 83.5 receptions.
LAS VEGAS – The offseason heading into the 2022-23 NFL season has proven to be one of the craziest in history with three of the top receivers in the league switching teams. A.J. Brown moved from the Tennessee Titans to the Philadelphia Eagles, Davante Adams from the Green Bay Packers to Las Vegas Raiders, and Tyreek Hill from the Kansas City Chiefs to Miami Dolphins.
Despite all of the changes, online betting sites have not been shy of unleashing player props for these players ahead of the season for their total touchdowns, receiving yards, and receptions.
A.J. Brown Player Props
A.J. Brown Player Totals
- Receiving Yards O/U 1025.5
- Receiving TDs O/U 7
- Receptions O/U 72.5
A.J. Brown has quickly slid into the WR1 slot on the depth chart for the Eagles ahead of DeVonta Smith and is expected to be an immediate difference maker. Looking at his receiving yard total, Brown has gone over in two of his three seasons in the league and only stayed under by 157 yards last season after missing four games due to injury.
Jalen Hurts thrives when throwing to the right side of the field with a 98 passer rating from 0-10 yards and a 131.6 rating from 10-20 yards. This helps Brown being that he lines up to the right more often than not.
As for his touchdowns, he has also gone over in two of his three seasons and was on pace to at least push last season with 5 touchdowns in the 13 games he played. In the new Philly offense, Brown could get his deep looks to the endzone, however, Hurts looks more to his tight end Dallas Goedert when in the redzone as he led the team in redzone targets and receptions last season.
With Tennessee last season, Brown had just four redzone receptions on 10 targets for just a 40% completion rate.
His reception prop is where some great value lies as he was just nine short of the over last season and very well could have gone over if he played every game. He will certainly lead the team in targets and receptions this season after Smith saw 98 targets to lead the team as the WR1.
Davante Adams Player Props
Davante Adams Player Totals
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- Receiving Yards O/U 1200
- Receiving TDs O/U 10.5
- Receptions O/U 99.5
Although Davante Adams has gone over his yards, touchdowns, and receptions props for the last two seasons, there is strong reason to believe that he could stay under in all three this season. The main reason is that Adams was the only consistent receiving for the Packers last season having put up a whopping 70% completion rate while leading the team in targets (155), receptions (109), and yards (1,553). All were significantly higher than the next best receiver who saw just 51 targets and 29 receptions.
Now with the Raiders, he will be joining an already above-average receiving core that includes Hunter Renfrow and Darren Waller. Renfrow is coming off of a breakout season that saw career highs in targets, receptions, yards, and touchdowns, all of which led the team and led the team in redzone targets and receptions as well.
As for Waller, he missed six games from injury last season, but in his last healthy season in 2020, he led the team in yards, receptions, touchdowns, and redzone receptions, and completions as well.
With that, there are just too many mouths to feed in Vegas this season, and while he will still most likely be the leading receiver for the Raiders, both Renfrow and Waller are just too skilled to ignore completely which indicates Adams numbers staying under.
Tyreek Hill Player Props
Tyreek Hill Player Totals
- Receiving Yards O/U 1000.5
- Receiving TDs O/U 8
- Receptions O/U 83.5
While Tyreek Hill could be seen as in the same situation as Davante Adams, he has proven to still thrive even in a crowded offense. Last season with the Chiefs, Hill led the team in targets (156), receptions (110), touchdowns (10), and yards (1,239) all while Travis Kelce went for 1,100+ yards and 9 touchdowns while on 127 targets and 85 receptions.
He also led in redzone targets and receptions.
Last season, the Miami offense was similar to Kansas City in the sense of Jaylen Waddle and Mike Gesicki both recording 110+ targets and 70+ receptions each and making up for over 1,700 receiving yards. Hill could slide into a much similar role that sees him hitting the over in all three categories for a third straight season.
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