- The NFL continues on into its twelfth week of the season this week, with big matchups like the Baltimore Ravens as 4.5-point underdog to the Pittsburgh Steelers on Thanksgiving.
- Other important games include the Arizona Cardinals (-2.5) against the New England Patriots, the Tennessee Titans against the Indianapolis Colts (-3.5), and the Kansas City Chiefs (-3.5) taking on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
LAS VEGAS – The NFL season is officially kicking into high gear this week with a series of high-profile matchups.
These Week 12 games will decide which teams are poised for a strong finish, and which teams are set up for failure.
With three games on Thanksgiving, the NFL schedule is a little more eclectic this week, but the odds are still available on all of the major online sportsbooks.
Starting with the primetime Turkey Day matchup between bitter AFC North rivals in the Baltimore Ravens and Pittsburgh Steelers.
NFL Week 12 – Thanksgiving 8:20 p.m. EST
- Baltimore Ravens +185
- Pittsburgh Steelers -225
- Spread: PIT -4.5
- O/U: 45.0
The bad blood extends from the family arguments at the table onto the gridiron this Thanksgiving as the Ravens meet the Steelers in their second matchup of the season. The first meeting between the teams was just three weeks ago, and was won by the Steelers 28-24.
The Steelers are still undefeated at 10-0, and appear to be one of the more consistent teams in the NFL. Unlike the 6-4 Ravens, who have now earned a bit of a reputation for floundering in big games after their overtime loss to the Tennessee Titans.
A win against the Steelers would do a tremendous amount for the Ravens’ reputation, but there is likely a reason that 55% of bets have already come in on Pittsburgh.
Look for the Steelers to manhandle a Ravens team that appears to have lost confidence after two consecutive losses.
Notable Betting Trends:
Baltimore is 1-4 against the spread in their last 5 games.
The Ravens are 10-1 in their last 11 road games.
Pittsburgh is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games.
NFL Week 12 – Sunday 1:00 p.m. EST
- Arizona Cardinals -140
- New England Patriots +120
- Spread: ARI -2.5
- O/U: 49.5
The Arizona Cardinals are one of the most exciting teams in the NFL this season and take on one of the most confusing teams in the New England Patriots this weekend. While 63% of public NFL bets have come in on Arizona, this Patriots team is always capable of pulling out a win.
Before their close 27-20 loss to the Houston Texans this past Sunday, the Pats had just defeated the Ravens behind a 121-yard effort from Damien Harris. It had appeared that the Patriots were finally finding an identity on offense. That consistency was not upheld against the Texans, but the spark of optimism should not be completely unvalued.
Meanwhile, the Cardinals suffered a harsh loss at the hands of the Seattle Seahawks last Thursday despite another explosive night from Kyler Murray. Arizona has the best offense in the league, averaging 414.3 yards per game, and that is largely due to the success of Murray this season. The problem is the Cardinals' defense, which ranks in the bottom third of most statistical categories.
As long as the Cardinals can score more points than the Pats they should have no problem. If the game stays under 25 points, however, the Patriots gain the advantage.
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Notable Betting Trends:
New England is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games.
The Pats have hit the under in 5 of their last 7 games.
The total has gone under in 4 of the Cardinals' last 5 road games.
NFL Week 12 – Sunday 1:00 p.m. EST
- Tennessee Titans +170
- Indianapolis Colts -200
- Spread: IND -3.5
- O/U: 51.0
The battle for the AFC South comes to a head this Sunday when the Indianapolis Colts face the Tennessee Titans in their second matchup of the season. The winner of this game could easily go on to win the division, with both teams currently tied at 7-3 on the season.
The Colts took down the Titans 34-17 when the two met just a few weeks ago on Thursday night. In the game since, both teams picked up impressive wins, with the Colts beating the Green Bay Packers in overtime and the Titans defeating the Ravens also in overtime.
While the Colts defense is second in the league in yards allowed, there are few men on earth who can stop NFL rushing leader Derrick Henry once he gets going, as the Ravens learned last week.
DERRICK HENRY CALLED GAME
(via @NFL)pic.twitter.com/hYeLwF2xGX
— SportsCenter (@SportsCenter) November 22, 2020
It will take more than Henry for the Titans to win this one, however. Henry had 103 yards in their previous matchup that the Colts won handily 34-17. With a spread this size, it appears as if the bookies trust the Colts, but not that much. So far 74% of public betting money has come in on the Titans.
Notable Betting Trends:
The Colts are 6-3 ATS this season.
The total has gone over in 5 of the Colts’ last 6 games.
The Titans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Tennessee has hit the over in 7 of their last 9 games.
NFL Week 12 – Sunday 4:25 p.m. EST
- Kansas City Chiefs -190
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers +165
- Spread: KC -3.5
- O/U: 55.5
The final key matchup of the week features two legendary quarterbacks on different ends of their careers. Tom Brady has his Tampa Bay Buccaneers playing well at the ripe age of 43, while 25-year-old Patrick Mahomes is leading his Kansas City Chiefs on the path to a second consecutive Super Bowl.
While the Bucs are 7-4, they were outplayed by the Los Angeles Rams on Monday Night. All the flashy weapons on offense don’t mean much if the team can’t stop itself from making mistakes. While the spread here is low, there is a reason why the Chiefs are the defending champions. KC has the No. 1 scoring offense in the league at 32.1 points per game, and will likely have no problems in Tampa Bay.
Notable Betting Trends:
The Chiefs have won 5 games in a row, and have hit the over in 4 of their last 6 games.
Tampa Bay is 2-9-2 ATS in their last 13 home games.
The Bucs have hit the over in 4 of their last 5 games.
Jimmy Reinman honed his skills across various mediums including print, radio, and broadcast before bringing his arsenal of knowledge to the team here at USAOnlineSportsbooks in 2020. When he’s not writing, you can find him in a state of focused stress on any College Football Saturday, or maniacally constructing NBA parlays on a cool spring evening.